Sportsbooks have begun to release their numbers for the 2024 NFL season, which is set to begin in Kansas City on Thursday, September 5. Entering the season, everyone is waiting to see if Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs can three-peat as Super Bowl champions.
Predicting who will finish first in passing yards is one of the most intriguing bets because there are a number of plausible candidates and good odds on each. Mahomes, the quarterback for the Chiefs, is the early favorite to lead the league in passing and is available at a respectable +500 odds.
It will be fascinating to see which players compete for the top spot in the passing rankings this coming season, given that the passing leaders from the previous season (the top three) stood apart by a little over 100 yards.
Patrick Mahomes did not lead the NFL in passing yards last year. Tua Tagovailoa, the quarterback for the Miami Dolphins, completed over 4,600 yards of passing in 2023 and finished over 500 yards ahead of Mahomes in sixth place. However, with some upgrades at wide out, Kansas City might be geared up for another successful season through Mahomes’ passing.
Noting that Mahomes led the league in passing in 2022 and finished second only to quarterback Tom Brady in 2021 may also be pertinent. It’s not a given that Mahomes will top the league in passing yards in 2024, but you cannot fault anyone for favoring him.
Both C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans and Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys had outstanding seasons in 2023, and with strong passing game options, they should be in the running for the passing yard title in 2024.
All of the odds for the quarterbacks who might lead the NFL in throwing yards in 2024 are provided below.
Odds For The NFL Regular Season Passing Yards Leader
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) — +500
C.J. Stroud (Houston Texans) — +600
Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) — +650
Jared Goff (Detroit Lions) — +800
Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) — +800
Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) — +850
Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) — 1400
Kirk Cousins (Atlanta Falcons) — 1400
Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers) — +1600
Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) — +1800
Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets) — +2200
Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) — +2500
Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) — 2500
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) — +2800
Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) — +4000
Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) — +4000
Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — +4000
Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) — +5000
Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders) — +5000
Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks) — +5000
Derek Carr (New Orleans Saints) — +5000
Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) — +6500
Will Levis (Tennessee Titans) — +7000
J.J. McCarthy (Minnesota Vikings) — +8000
Bryce Young (Carolina Panthers) — +10000
Anthony Richardson (Indianapolis Colts) — +1000
Russell Wilson (Pittsburgh Steelers) — +1000
Needless to say, there will be a lot of competition throughout the NFL when it comes to this stat line. Patrick Mahomes is currently favored, but he’ll need the Kansas City Chiefs’ weapons to step up.
There are 15 quarterbacks or so who could compete for this feat. It will be interesting to see who comes out on top.
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